Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 4

Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2025, 1:01 p.m. ET

Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies are set to face off against Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds at Citizens Bank Park on Friday at 1:05 p.m. ET, marking the first game of a three-game series. In this matchup, the Reds are +132 moneyline underdogs against the favored Phillies (-159). Philadelphia leads the run line (-1.5 with +134 odds). The over/under for the game has been set at 8 runs.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective about the Phillies-Reds game, including details on the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Phillies vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 4, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET

Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSOH

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Moneyline: Phillies -159

Underdog Moneyline: Reds +132

Total Over: 8 -115

Total Under: 8 -105

Run Line: Phillies -1.5 +134

Reds Run Line: +1.5 -161

Phillies vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Reds 4

Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Reds 46%

Phillies vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Phillies have won 44 of the 67 games they’ve played as favorites this season, translating to a 65.7% success rate. When favored by at least -159 on the moneyline, Philadelphia has emerged victorious in 29 of 37 games (78.4%). The sportsbooks indicate a 61.4% implied chance of a Phillies win.

On the other hand, the Reds have won 26 of the 49 contests in which they were considered underdogs this season, giving them a 53.1% win rate as underdogs phamacao. Cincinnati has an 8-8 record in games where the betting line favors them by +132 or worse. The moneyline for this matchup suggests a 43.1% chance of a Reds victory.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies went 3-1 when favored on the moneyline. They have hit the over in total runs two times during these games. The team holds a 7-3-0 record against the spread in their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Record: 5-5

Runs Per Game: 3.7

Home Runs: 11

ERA: 1 online casino login betso88 login.99

K/9: 9.7

Phillies Player Insights

Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 26 home runs and 58 RBIs, ranking fifth in MLB for homers and 12th for RBIs. Trea Turner boasts a team-high .297 batting average and carries a three-game hitting streak into the matchup, with a .211 average over his last five games.

Nick Castellanos is hitting .279 with 22 doubles and 10 home runs, while Alec Bohm bats .283 with 12 doubles and seven home runs, also bringing a five-game hit streak into this game.

Phillies Team Props

• Nick Castellanos: Hits O/U 0.5 (-230), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+120)
• J.T. Realmuto: Hits O/U 0.5 (-215), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+130)
• Bryce Harper: Hits O/U 0 jilipark casino login register online.5 (-220), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+120)
• Trea Turner: Hits O/U 1.5 (+180), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+100)
• Alec Bohm: Hits O/U 1.5 (+190), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+100)

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have competed as underdogs in seven of their last 10 games and have won four of those matchups. When looking at their last 10 games, the Reds have recorded a total of 4 overs, 5 unders, and 1 push against the total. They also managed to cover the spread in 6 out of these 10 games. bmw 2019

Reds Recent Stats

Record: 6-4

Runs Per Game: 4.8

Home Runs: 9

ERA: 4.10

K/9: 8

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 18 home runs and 58 RBIs, ranking 18th in the majors for homers and 12th for RBIs. TJ Friedl leads the batting lineup with a jiliasia legit.281 average.

Reds Team Props

• Spencer Steer: Hits O/U 0.5 (-205), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+130)
• Matt McLain: Hits O/U 0.5 (-215), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+125)
• Elly De La Cruz: Hits O/U 0.5 (-205), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+140)
• Austin Hays: Hits O/U 0.5 (-215), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+130)

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

What are your thoughts on this matchup between the Phillies and Reds?